Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.The Federal Reserve's loan balance in the discount window in the week of December 11th was $2.61 billion, compared with $2.43 billion in the previous week. The balance of bank term financing loans in the week of December 11th was 15.6 billion US dollars, compared with 17.1 billion US dollars in the previous week.Industry: The worry about the imbalance between supply and demand still exists, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)
Jilin Province promotes the high-quality development of ice and snow economy and cultivates a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises. The Standing Committee of Jilin Provincial Party Committee recently deliberated and adopted the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting the High-quality Development of Ice and Snow Economy in Jilin Province". According to the "Implementation Opinions", by the snow season of 2027-2028, the number of ice and snow tourists will reach 230 million, and the total spending of ice and snow tourists will reach 420 billion yuan. By 2030, ice and snow tourism will receive 300 million people, the total cost of ice and snow tourism will reach 540 billion yuan, and the total output value of ice and snow equipment manufacturing industry will exceed 5 billion yuan. Jilin Province will strive to declare 1-2 national ski resorts, and operate no less than 100 characteristic ice and snow parks every year to build high-quality ice and snow tourist destinations. Vigorously develop famous cities, towns and villages in ice and snow, and cultivate a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises in the field of ice and snow. (Securities Times)Suspected of misleading investors and being accused of bundling sales, NVIDIA is frequently involved in anti-monopoly investigations around the world. After China filed an anti-monopoly investigation against NVIDIA a few days ago, on the 12th, this artificial intelligence chip manufacturing giant was once again involved in the judicial turmoil. The US Supreme Court allowed investors to file a class action lawsuit against chipmaker NVIDIA, and rejected NVIDIA's appeal. This is the latest judicial dispute that NVIDIA has fallen into since the French, European Union and China launched an "anti-monopoly investigation" against NVIDIA.Suspected of misleading investors and being accused of bundling sales, NVIDIA is frequently involved in anti-monopoly investigations around the world. After China filed an anti-monopoly investigation against NVIDIA a few days ago, on the 12th, this artificial intelligence chip manufacturing giant was once again involved in the judicial turmoil. The US Supreme Court allowed investors to file a class action lawsuit against chipmaker NVIDIA, and rejected NVIDIA's appeal. This is the latest judicial dispute that NVIDIA has fallen into since the French, European Union and China launched an "anti-monopoly investigation" against NVIDIA.
Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Jilin Province promotes the high-quality development of ice and snow economy and cultivates a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises. The Standing Committee of Jilin Provincial Party Committee recently deliberated and adopted the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting the High-quality Development of Ice and Snow Economy in Jilin Province". According to the "Implementation Opinions", by the snow season of 2027-2028, the number of ice and snow tourists will reach 230 million, and the total spending of ice and snow tourists will reach 420 billion yuan. By 2030, ice and snow tourism will receive 300 million people, the total cost of ice and snow tourism will reach 540 billion yuan, and the total output value of ice and snow equipment manufacturing industry will exceed 5 billion yuan. Jilin Province will strive to declare 1-2 national ski resorts, and operate no less than 100 characteristic ice and snow parks every year to build high-quality ice and snow tourist destinations. Vigorously develop famous cities, towns and villages in ice and snow, and cultivate a number of well-known brands and leading enterprises in the field of ice and snow. (Securities Times)Turkish President meets US Secretary of State, focusing on the situation between Syria and Palestine and Israel. Turkish President Erdogan meets visiting US Secretary of State Blinken at Essenboa International Airport in Ankara, the capital, and the two sides hold closed-door talks. It is reported that the talks focused on bilateral relations, regional and international hot issues, especially the latest development of the situation in Syria. The two sides discussed how to strengthen regional cooperation, jointly support the political transition led by Syria and promote the establishment of a "responsible" and "inclusive" government. Erdogan emphasized that Turkey has always insisted on safeguarding Syria's territorial integrity and sovereign unity. Erdogan pointed out that Turkey will never compromise in the struggle against the extremist organization "Islamic State". As the only NATO country directly at war with the Islamic State, Turkey will continue to take measures to combat threats, including the PKK and its affiliated organizations, ensure national security and prevent any forces from taking advantage of the current situation in Syria. In addition, the two sides also exchanged views on the current Palestinian-Israeli situation. Erdoğ an and Blinken agreed that it is urgent to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza as soon as possible and reach an agreement on the exchange of detainees, and stressed that humanitarian assistance to Palestinians should be strengthened.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14